Unless I can’t find it myself on my own blog (very possible), it seems I never did a 2017 prediction post. Looking back at 2017, especially from an MMO perspective, that’s probably for the best. Let’s imagine that post just said ‘nothing happens’, and I’ll give myself a 10/10 in accuracy.
Looking ahead to 2018, it might be a make-or-break year for the genre. If Crowfall releases (and I’ll count an expanded open beta as ‘release’) and stinks, if Camelot Unchained releases and stinks, and if bad news continues to plague Star Citizen (I know if won’t release in 2018), what is left for the genre but playing existing titles that are all aging and unlikely to get a massive revamp to remain current? If WoW hasn’t done a total graphics/engine overhaul, I doubt anyone else will (not counting EVE of course, because EVE always looks current-gen thanks to the ongoing efforts of CCP).
Do I think Crowfall will stink? I mean, based on current alpha access, its not looking great, but I haven’t exactly given it a solid attempt. A lot of that is because when you log in, its hard to figure out what exactly there is to do besides run around aimlessly in an empty zone, but I’ve just not been in the mood all 2017 to dig deeper.
I know even less about the progress CU has been making, other than I think its a bit further along than Crowfall. I’d like to be pleasantly surprised by that one.
I really don’t care for SC, and the while business of selling super-expensive ships already rubs me the wrong way.
As for older titles? I’ll be honest that EVE has been slow/boring lately. No major wars, no interesting conflicts, and I hit the level of having ‘enough ISK’ for everything that I don’t care to grind more. I hope something big happens soon, but I know I’m not alone in sitting by and waiting. Beyond that, the rest of the genre is kinda dead to me. Never out of GW2 has looked interesting, LotRO looks ancient. WoW is post-WotLK WoW. The genre is what it is right now, and for the most part that is all pretty meh to me.
Perhaps something will come out of left field and happily surprise us in 2018? I hope so, but for predictions, I’m going to say no.